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Saturday, April 30, 2011

State bonds

Early to Rise - Investor's Edition
------------------------------------
Market Minute:

What Happened: A report published this week by the Pew Center says that states
are $1.26 trillion in the red on their pension and retiree health obligations.

What It Means: It's a ticking time bomb. States will have to pay for the
shortfall by increasing property and/or income taxes.

Why It Matters: Concerns over state budgets have raised municipal bond interest
rates to take into account higher risks. But you can't talk about states as a
whole. Some states pose much less risk than other states. For example, New York
has 101% of their pension funded. No risk there.

Suggested Action: Stay away from states that have less than 80% of the pension
obligations funded. Municipal bond investments in the other states are safe and
the tax-advantaged interest rates you'd be getting are the best buy in town.

Friday, April 29, 2011

The $20,000 Forex "secret weapon"?

For the past year, one of the Forex trading community's most
seasoned trading "veterans" has been working diligently in his
"trading lab" trying to solve the #1 request his Forex trading
students from all around the world have been asking him for:

* "How can I make MORE money in LESS time, even if I'm not a
technical Forex 'geek'?"

To do this properly, he had 2 big challenges:

1. How to shorten the time needed to actively find & manage the
highest probability, lowest risk trades...

2. How to give you total control to manage these trades to
completion, so your portfolio is protected at all times...

After a LOT of research and testing, he's finally ready to show
you what he came up with -- a way to MULTIPLY your profit
potential in these highly lucrative markets in 60 seconds or
less of active trading -- so he recorded a brand new
presentation that reveals his discovery here:

http://eztrackr.net/fbqg


-------------------------
The $20,000 Secret Weapon
-------------------------

The "secret weapon" behind his discovery is a custom piece of
intelligent software that he paid over $20,000 to develop that
can predict with a high level of accuracy which way any of the 6
major Forex pairs are headed in the next 8 hours...

It does all the "hard work" of finding the best trade setups,
saving you hours of analysis...

-but then gives you total control to place and manage the trades
yourself so your portfolio is always shielded from risk.

And from what I've seen, no one is trading like this (yet)...

No, it's NOT a "robot"... it's NOT an "expert advisor"... it's
NOT even a "plug-in"...

It's a complete, step-by-step approach to trading that's
probably unlike anything you've seen before.

He reveals it all in his new trading lab discovery presentation
here:

http://eztrackr.net/fbqg

It's awesome, and it's something anyone can do, regardless of
your experience. Plus, it easily fits into your busy schedule
because you really only need 60 seconds here and there
throughout the day to place and manage your trades.

Thursday, April 28, 2011

You may have to dump Airline stocks

Market Minute: Grounded

What Happened: The five major US airlines reported a combined loss of more than
$1 billion last quarter.

What It Means: Rising fuel costs are hitting airlines hard. The numbers would
have been worse had the airlines not seen a 12% increase in revenues.

Why It Matters: Consumers have already been hit with airfare increases seven
times this year Airlines can only raise fares so much before demand drops, and
revenues along with it. The airlines are walking a tight rope. History says they
will fall off.

Recommended Action: If for any reason you own stock in any airlines, dump them.
They pay no dividends, so you have no income. They offer no growth opportunity
either, so you can't count on price appreciation. It's a lose-lose situation for
investors.
Extracted from Early to Rise-Investors' Edition

Tuesday, April 26, 2011

You might want to keep watch on this

Early to Rise - Investor's Edition
------------------------------------
Market Minute: The Battle For Metals Heats Up

What Happened: Barrick Gold just bought Equinox Minerals for nearly $8 billion.
That is almost a 10% premium to Equinox's share price.

What It Means: The commodity boom is in full swing. Companies are paying bigger
and bigger premiums to snap up smaller players. To grab Equinox, Barrick had to
bid 16% higher than the previous offer.

Why It Matters: Both Barrick and Equinox are Canadian companies. That other
offer for Equinox? It came from a Chinese company. Barrack may have stepped up
and paid more to keep the Equinox resources out of China's hands.

Recommended Action: Keep an eye on the junior resource sector. China still needs
commodities. It may have lost out on Equinox, but it still has plenty of cash to
go shopping. Takeovers will continue as commodity prices climb higher and
higher.

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Get in now, and you stand to see the biggest possible gains.

Monday, April 25, 2011

Coal: May worth you investing into

Coal: What a Gas!

Mingo County, West Virginia hardly sounds like a place that could help end our
dependence on oil from the Middle East. The entire county has only 27,000
residents. The median household income is under $28,000. And 25% of its
residents are under the poverty line.

Hell, it doesn't even have oil reserves. It's deep in the heart of coal country,
after all.

So how can a new $4 billion plant in Mingo County affect our dependence on
foreign oil?

The plant will take coal and put it through "gasification." The end product will
be gasoline.

Yes, coal into gasoline. Sounds crazy, right?

It is done through a coal-to-liquids (CTL) process called coal liquefaction. No
need to dive into the nitty-gritty science of it here. All you need to know is
that it works.

South Africa has been using CTL since 1955. It not only provides gas for cars
and other vehicles, but also fuel for commercial jets. Right now, the country
meets 30% of its gas and diesel needs through CTL technology.

And for the first time ever, the technology will be in place here in the US.
Construction of the plant in Mingo County is expected to take four years. But
when it is up and running, it is estimated that it will produce 756,000 gallons
of gas per day. That is roughly 18,000 barrels a day, or 2% of the amount we
import.

The allure is clear: The US has the largest coal reserves on the planet. Using
some of that coal to end some of our foreign oil dependency makes sense. (Plus,
with oil prices headed higher over time, and CTL production costs expected to
come down, the benefits of the technology will only increase.)

Turning coal into gasoline is just another aspect of the current "super cycle"
in coal.

China and India are racing to build coal-fired power plants to try and meet
their growing demand for electricity. But that's not all they plan on doing with
coal.

China has a CTL plant in Inner Mongolia that is run by the state-owned Shenhua
Group. And just last week, northwestern China's largest steel company announced
plans to build a $3.3 billion plant in Gansu province. Numerous other plants are
in the planning and approval stages.

And in India, a decision is expected that would allow Tata Steel to partner with
Sasol (the South African company with decades of CTL experience) to build the
country's first CTL plant.

To see how popular coal has become, look no further than reality TV. Spike has a
new show simply called "Coal." It follows a small group of coal miners in West
Virginia. (Just try watching it and not be grateful for the clean air you
breathe.)

The increasing demand for coal (for all purposes) is likely to continue for
years and years. With global uncertainty over nuclear, coal becomes a much safer
(albeit dirtier) solution. And now that CTL technology has gained a foothold
here in some of the world's largest energy markets, expect the coal resurgence
to keep growing.

If you are looking to diversify your energy holdings beyond oil companies, you
should take a long look at coal.

Extracted from Early to Rise Investors-Edition

Sunday, April 24, 2011

Forexpeacearmy Sive Morten Weekly | EUR/USD, April 25-29, 2011

Sive Morten Weekly | EUR/USD, April 25-29, 2011

Long term bullish bias still intact, but market has reached our
long-term resistance. So, it's not very good moment to enter Long for
long-term.
And in nearest perspective, situation could appear different. Hope
this trading plan will help you
Sive.

Friday, April 22, 2011

Ignore Gold At $1500 An Ounce

Ignore Gold At $1500 An Ounce

Ignore the headlines about gold breaking $1,500 an ounce for the first time in
history. It's hard to do. I know. The media runs another gold article up the
flagpole almost every day now. But they are missing the real investment you
should be making.

Look, I am not saying gold has been a bad investment. It has risen 31% in the
last 12 months. It's just that there is a much better place for your money. And
it's up 157% in the last 12 months.

If history is any guide, the best is yet to come.

I am talking about silver. "Gold on steroids," as it was recently called. Here's
why you should give silver a hard look...

Gold and silver have always traded at a fairly consistent ratio. It took 15-20
ounces of silver to buy 1 ounce of gold. In 1792, the US Government set the
ratio at 15:1. But if you Google "historical silver-to-gold ratio," it comes
back as 16:1. (That makes a lot of sense, since silver occurs in nature 16 times
more often than gold.)

Today, the ratio is roughly 34:1. That makes silver much cheaper compared to
gold. Even as silver marches steadily higher. In the chart below, you can see
what's been happening since August of last year. (Coincidentally or not, that is
when QE2 was announced.)

And I believe silver has a very real shot at hitting the historical 16:1 ratio.
Here's why...

The last time the silver-to gold ratio hit 16:1 was back in the late 70s to
early 80s.

That time period was marked by three very distinct situations:

Rising gas prices - Gas went from $0.63 in 1978 to $1.38 by 1981. A leap of
119%.


Rising unemployment - The unemployment rate went from 6% in May 1978 to 10.8% in
December 1982. An increase of 80%.


Rising inflation - Inflation soared from 6% in May 1978 to 15% in April 1980.

As a result, Americans fled to the safety of precious metals. Gold jumped 335%
from 1978 to 1980. Silver was the big winner, though. It rocketed 880% during
the same time period.

Today, it's déjà vu all over again (to quote Yogi Berra).

Rising gas prices - Gas has gone from $1.59 in December 2008 to an average of
$3.78 today. A leap of 137%.


Rising unemployment - The "official" rate has gone from 5% in May 2008 to just
under 10% recently. (And that's not counting those who no longer qualify for
benefits or have simply given up. The actual rate is probably much higher.)


Rising inflation - Inflation has soared from 5% in November 2009 to over 10%
right now. (That's according to ShadowStats, calculated the way the government
used to.)

As you can see, it's all playing out the same way it did back in the late 70s
and early 80s. Except that silver is priced at a very significant discount to
gold. But that won't last for long. If you have read my previous articles, you
know I believe inflation is going to get much worse. All that cheap money the
government created with QE1 and QE2 will come home to roost in the not too
distant future. And that is when inflation will really rear its ugly head.

You don't have to look any further than gold prices to see how the threat of
serious inflation is affecting investors.

But, as I said, silver was the big winner in the late 70s and early 80s. And it
will be again. It has already gained 352% since QE1. And when the 16:1
silver-to-gold ratio returns (as it did back then), silver will hit $93 an
ounce. (That's based on $1,500 gold, and that is a very conservative estimate
for gold.)

So while gold has handsomely rewarded investors, silver is where you want to be.
It is rising much faster than gold, and that should continue. Yes, you will see
much wilder price swings when investing in silver. But you should see gains of
just over 100% over the next 18-24 months as the price of silver returns to its
historical ratio with gold.
extract from Early to Rise Investors Edition.

Thursday, April 21, 2011

The Secret Fossil Fuel Powerhouse

Early to Rise - Investor's Edition
------------------------------------
Market Minute: The First Cut Is The Deepest.

What Happened: Standard & Poor's lowered the US's credit rating from positive to
negative. It warned the US that time was running out. It said more government
procrastination could risk its AAA rating.

What It Means: The US has the worse Triple A-rated economy in the world. Its
deficit could reach 11% of GDP by 2013. And its total debt could exceed 100% of
GDP.

Why It Matters: Even the biggest economy in the world can't keep piling up debt
forever. The government has been called out. And no longer can US Treasuries be
considered "risk-free." Investors will demand a higher return to lend money to
the US government. An agreement between the Democrats and Republicans to cut
spending by $4 trillion is a start (if it ever happens). But even that may not
be enough to restore faith in the US's economic house. The government went on a
ferocious spending spree when the recent crisis hit. It has taken two years to
reach this "crisis" point. It's not going away overnight.


Suggested Action: Standard & Poor's just gave you a way to make money by betting
that Government bonds go down in price. Find the perfect vehicle to do this in
the Liberty Street Investor's Trend Trader portfolio.

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The Secret Fossil Fuel Powerhouse

IMV Projects is hiring 10-25 engineers a week. Since January, it has added 100
people to its 500-person work force. There's just one catch.

Many accepted jobs to work on projects that don't even exist.

And IMV's CEO couldn't be happier. "There will be enough work to go around," he
insists.

IMV Projects works in North America's oil patch. And so far its hiring spree is
paying off. Work has shown up in time to keep the new hires busy.

The oil sector is taking flight. High prices are spurring spending and
expansion.

In fact, energy commodities are hitting highs across the board. West Texas crude
oil spilled over $100 two weeks ago and will soon be arriving at its next big
round number: $110 per barrel.

The last time oil prices surged past $100, they kept right on going until they
passed $147.

Gas prices now average $3.83 nationally. A year ago, they were averaging $2.87.
Half a dozen states are already reporting prices over $4.00. And the summer
driving season hasn't even begun.

Coal prices are also bubbling up. They're at $460 a ton, a three-year high.

And heating oil is up to $3.18 per gallon from $1.50 last year this time, more
than doubling in price.

To understand what's going on, you have to realize that the world's biggest
"economic project" is still in its early stages.

The Industrial Revolution 2.0

Why in the world would NYMEX (New York Mercantile Exchange) traders be bidding
up the multi-trillion-dollar commodity market (including traditional fossil
energy commodities) in the middle of such a fragile global economy?

We don't know what those traders are thinking. But it's a safe bet they're not
expecting the world to wean itself off oil or coal any time soon.

The industrial revolution changed the world 150 years ago. But it would have
been impossible without coal.

And now a second round of global industrialization is taking place. I call it
the Industrial Revolution 2.0. Countries from China to India to South Africa are
building highways, putting up skyscrapers, and expanding manufacturing.

Now these commodity traders may not be history buffs. But they must know that
the second and bigger Industrial Revolution can't happen without an ample supply
of oil and coal.

The mainstream news media can't talk enough about solar and wind energy. Even
post-Fukushima nuclear is talked up. But the fundamental truth about world
energy is this...

Fossil fuels supply more than 80% of the world's energy.

We've recently talked about coal's comeback. In a recent issue of Liberty Street
investor, Christian Hill said that "global demand for coal is increasing. Last
decade, coal consumption increased 46%, more than any other fossil fuel. And in
2009, coal provided nearly 30% of the world's electricity, the highest
percentage since 1970."

He's right. Coal, for example, provides China with 80% of its power. Both China
and India have begun to ramp up construction of coal-fired generating plants.
That should almost double world coal consumption over the next two decades.

And oil? We're cutting back in the West. By 2035, we should be using 6 million
barrels a day less oil than we use now. But don't let that fool you. Everywhere
else oil use is gaining. China alone will account for 50% of the world's rising
oil consumption. Its consumption will grow to 13.1 mbd in 2030, up from 3.5 mbd
in 2006. The most prestigious energy consultant in the world, the International
Energy Agency, says that oil will remain the dominant primary energy fuel
through 2035, the end year of its 25-year forecast.

So where will all this oil and coal come from?


The Next Energy Superpower?

Many candidates have been proposed, including Brazil and China. And dark horses
like Mongolia and Indonesia.

Then, of course, there's Saudi Arabia. It has fossil fuel reserves of 309.1
billion barrels of oil equivalent (BBOE).

But there's one country that has more than that. In fact, it has more than Saudi
Arabia, Canada, and Iran combined.

And that country is the US.

The US has 972.6 BBOE. That's three times Saudi Arabia's fossil fuel reserves.

The difference maker is coal. Saudi Arabia has none. The US has 910.1 BBOE.

The US also has 43.4 BBOE of natural gas, much more than Saudi Arabia. And that
doesn't even include America's shale gas reserves. Some estimates indicate we
have enough to last 100 years.

So while President Obama frets over our oil addiction and seeks to reduce oil
imports by one-third...

And the oil majors lobby for looser offshore drilling restrictions as they eye
Alaska's coast...

The US can legitimately claim to be the world's most formidable fossil fuel
energy superpower.

And We Can See the Changes Already.

The United States increased domestic oil production last year for the first time
in a generation.

US coal producers are eyeing Asian markets for the first time. IDE's Managing
Editor, Christian Hill, says "Worldwide coal use is expected to grow 53% by
2030, with China and India responsible for around 85% of the increase. And this
year alone, China and India may boost their coal imports by 78%."

Coal has been written off dozens of times. Just like oil is being written off
now.

But the energy and commodity traders at NYMEX are bullish on America's fossil
fuels.

As I said, we don't know what they're thinking. But maybe they're just adding 2
plus 2 and getting 4. Tight supplies plus plentiful reserves equals a promising
future for oil and coal.

The demise of oil and coal is a myth completely unsupported by what's happening
on the ground. You should look to buy big oil and coal companies on the dip.
Even better, check out the two companies in these sectors that are outperforming
their peers in our Trend Trader portfolio. They're your best bets.

Tuesday, April 19, 2011

Natural gas may be the next target for profitable investment

Early to Rise - Investor's Edition
------------------------------------
Market Minute: More Gas For Japan

What Happened: Qatar announced it was shipping 4 million tons of liquefied
natural gas to Japan to help power around 5 million homes.

What It Means: Oil has gotten expensive. Natural gas is a much cheaper way to
power electrical plants.

Why It Matters: As we said last week natural gas is cheap and abundant. Prices
have been in a slump for nearly 3 years. But they seem to have found a floor
around $4/mmBtu. With Japan importing more natural gas, supplies could tighten.
And that would help boost prices.


Recommended Action: Keep an eye on natural gas producers. Japan is switching
from nuclear to natural gas. And some other countries will follow Japan's lead.
An upswing in demand could increase prices and profits for natural gas
producers. Extract from Early to Rise - Investors Edition

Sunday, April 17, 2011

Early to Rise Investor's market minute

Early to Rise Investor's Market Minute:
What Happened: The IMF just reported that the US budget deficit will reach 10.8%
of GDP this year. No other major developed country has a bigger deficit.

What It Means: The US government spends more than it makes. So it has to borrow
money to make up the shortfall. US debt is now over $14 trillion.

Why It Matters: The IMF says the US needs to reduce its debt. Otherwise, along
with increasing debt, the US will have to pay higher interest rates. Add it up
and US debt payments should double over the next decade, says the CBO. The US
now pays around $225 billion a year to service its debt.


Suggested Action: As interest rates go up, the price of US Treasuries go down.
Now is not a good time to hold US Government Bonds.

80% to 100% Potential Gains by 2012

Earlier this year, Liberty Street League investment experts pinpointed a Chinese
company that stands in the center of an economic "perfect storm." Right where
the global population explosion, the exponential expansion of the Chinese middle
class, and the world's largest auto market meet.

Since April of 2010, it's made a steady
17.8% gains. If you'd bought 50 shares in April... You could be sitting on an
$835 gain!

And there's no reason to believe it won't keep on climbing. This company could
hand out 80% to 100% gains in the next 12 to 18 months!

Learn the identity of this under-the-radar pick – and how to get regular
recommendations on the world's most powerful, long-term trends – by reading on
right here.


Circle November 2, 2011 on your calendar.

That's the day the Federal Reserve will be forced to acknowledge the large (and
growing) elephant in the room.

And it will set off a chain of events that could make you at least 100% in the
next three years. (In just seven months, members of the Trend Trader portfolio
have gained 11% on this recommendation.)

It all boils down to one thing: inflation.

This fall, the Fed will finally have to admit that (1) there is persistent
inflation, and (2) it will take action to slow it down.

As an investor, this isn't bad news. The more inflation we see, the more money
we can make.
Just look at the Consumer Price Index. It shows inflation already creeping in.
In the previous 12 months ending in February, the CPI jumped 2.1%. And that is
the ridiculously manipulated government figure.

So its enough to say that profitable investment opportunities lie
ahead. Just keep on the watch.
Extract from Early to Rise Investor's Edition

Friday, April 15, 2011

FOREX:Arbitrage 100% wins

Here is a way you can
make an investment without the possibility of a
loss!

Trading is not gambling and
I don't see it that way.

Arbitrage
--------------

Arbitrage is the practice of taking advantage of a
price difference between two or more markets and
striking a combination of matching deals that
capitalize upon the imbalance.

Basically, if you can spot the imbalance and get the
odds right, you have no possibility of loss

This Is A Trading
Robot For Sport
--------------------

This is very smart. This guy has taken the concept
of a trading robots and transformed it into an
automated system that looks for imbalances in the
odds, and spits out the exact combination that will
ensure that regardless of the outcome, you have 100%
no chance of loss. It's really incredible, check it
out here:
http://www.wizardoftrading.com/100.html

Anything that only has an upside is always
interesting for me and I thought you might find it
interesting too. If nothing else, the simplicity of
this is great.
There is no need to hype this thing because it
does what it says. It is mathematically impossible
for it to lose or it doesn't allow you to take the trade.