Sive Morten Weekly | EUR/USD, May 30-June 03, 2011

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Good day

There are a lot of important events will happen on coming week, may be
market will continue move to 1.4550, may be not, but currently it
looks positive. So, let's discuss our trading plan for beginning of
the week:

http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/shoulders-giants/

Sive Morten Weekly | EUR/USD, May 23-27, 2011

This is exclusively Sive Morten's.

Good day

We will have to keep an eye on 1.4040-1.41 area, because weekly
momentum trade will start on coming week, or it will hardly start at
all and we can see 1.37 area.

http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/shoulders-giants/

Early to Rise-Investors' Edition:Don't Climb The Tree

Don't Climb The Tree

This might be the easiest (and safest) way to make money that's come up in 25
years. It is the low-hanging fruit of the investing world. And it should
generate gains of at least 29%.

Wall Street sure isn't paying attention to it. They are in love with Internet
stocks again. They keep climbing the tree higher and higher, hoping to strike it
rich by putting together the next mega-IPO - Facebook... Groupon... Zynga.

My advice to you is let them. They can take all the risks they want. But
eventually, their greed will make them fall out of the tree. (I think we all
remember how the last dot-com boom ended.) Meanwhile, we will stand on the
ground and grab the easy (and safer) gains.

Today, I am going to show you how a "no-brainer" investment that Wall Street is
completely ignoring could save your portfolio even if the stock market goes
nowhere over the next few months. We talked about it a bit in Friday's
Investor's Edition. Because nobody is sure where the market is headed, the
"smart money" is coming back around to the defensive stocks. Stocks like
healthcare and utilities that do well in both bull and bear markets.

A similar strategy is to invest in the "low-hanging fruit." These are companies
that are so big, so well established, and generally so loaded with cash, that
they survive, and actually thrive, in a sideways or bear market.

They have the ability to raise prices and not lose market share during
inflationary periods. In fact, most can gain market share. And because many of
these companies are multi-national, they provide exposure to overseas markets.
That's another benefit right now. Because of the falling dollar, their products
become "cheaper" overseas. And when they convert those profits back to US
dollars, they make more money.

If it sounds like this is the ideal time to invest in these companies, that's
because it is.

And here's the clincher: According to Merrill Lynch, these companies are at
their cheapest level in 25 years.

While the overall market is trading at 16.4 times forward earnings, this group
is trading only at 12.7 times forward earnings. That means just to trade at
market value, this group, collectively, would have to jump 29%.

These companies are the "mega-caps," with a market cap in excess of $100
billion. They are the biggest, baddest bullies on the block: Apple, Chevron,
Microsoft, GE, etc.

You'd think Wall Street would be aware of the opportunity. After all, the
mega-caps are followed by dozens of analysts. Their every move is dissected. And
many of them have had outstanding performances for the last quarter. (Apple,
Chevron, even the much-maligned Microsoft just reported big profits.)

So, what's the problem?

Aside from their greed in chasing the next IPO, I can only guess that Wall
Street doesn't want to trash their "economic recovery playbook" quite yet. The
book says that energy, financials, and technology firms will outperform the
market.

Wall Street brokers would much rather tout the latest "can't miss" tech stock
than talk about "boring" mega-caps. And you can use this to your advantage.

For a change, you can get a jump on Wall Street's next big move. But you have to
move fast. As the "big boy" investors look to play defense with their
portfolios, you can bet the mega-caps will get a lot of attention. Their sheer
size (and the fact that most pay a dividend) will make them attractive to those
seeking both safety and income.

As an investor, I can't imagine what else you could want - industry-dominating
companies... most pay dividends... the cheapest prices in 25 years... portfolio
"defense"... and not yet on the radar of most investors.

Just take a look at a few examples compared to the S&P 500 and their sector
average:

To gain exposure to the mega-caps, you can do a search on your favorite stock
screener for companies with a market cap over $100 billion. If you are so
inclined, you can then narrow them down to those that pay dividends. Or you can
look at any of the ETFs that cover the mega-cap space. But be sure to act
quickly. The 29% discount won't last much longer.

Sive Morten Weekly | EUR/USD, May 16-20, 2011

Coming week will be crucial for further market direction. But in the
beginning of it, probably price will reach 1.3950

http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/shoulders-giants/

Real Estate Investment Trust

I guess by the time you're through reading this,you'll have discovered
a big investment opportunity. Many thanks to Gordon a contributor of
Early to Rise-Investors' Edition

....About 20 million
"grown-up" children live with their parents...

Demand Unleashed

Can you imagine how much better off the US economy would be if those 20 million
"deadbeats" got jobs and bought houses?

It's not so farfetched.

The economy put them in these straits. And it's the economy that will give them
a way out.

What may surprise you is that this could happen soon... much sooner than you
think. The economy has already been throwing them a lifeline. Take a look...

NEW JOBS

November: 93,000
December: 152,000
January: 68,000
February: 235,000
March: 221,000
April: 244,000

Okay, it's not much. And most people think the news is more bad than good.

But they're not looking at it the way I am.

As you can see, the number of new jobs is slowly but surely trending up. The
last three months have been particularly strong compared to 2010. And, lo and
behold, it's the private sector leading the way. During the second half of last
year, businesses added an average of 125,000 jobs per month. This April, they
added 268,000. (Meanwhile, public sector jobs declined.)

New jobs fatten up previously starved bank accounts.

But there's much more to it than that. They can turn one of our biggest economic
weaknesses into a powerful economic stimulus.

And it's happening not a moment too soon...

I'm talking about what economists call "household formation."

Right now, it's holding us back. The percentage of 25- to 34-year-olds living at
home with their parents is at a three-decade high.

But as these adult children strike out on their own in greater numbers, it
should unleash bottled-up demand.

Take my son Nick. He's saving for a house. He's spending very little. But once
he moves into his own place, he'll have to buy furniture, appliances, cable,
electricity, home insurance. He'll probably have to make minor repairs and
upgrades.

Now multiply that by 20 million...

We currently have 116 million households in America. 20 million more is a
substantial increase.

But we won't get to that number overnight.

Timothy Wadhams is the CEO of Masco. The company installs home improvement and
building products in Europe and America. And Wadhams says that 15 million new
households will be formed by 2020.

Of course, Wadhams may be saying this just to talk up the prospects of his
company. So I looked for - and found - some corroboration.

IHS Global Insight says that by 2020 13.8 million new households will be formed.

And Pew Research Center says the normal household growth of 1 million to 1.5
million will resume beginning in 2012. Including 1 million new households this
year, that would put the number at 9-13 million by 2020.

If we assume the middle of that range, 12-13 million households will be formed
by 2020. That's over a 10% bump up.

It may not be enough to revive the housing market. But that's not the
outstanding investment opportunity I have for you.

And the Biggest Beneficiaries Are...

Our nation's soon-to-be-liberated adult children will be following my daughter
into a rental unit before they follow my son into a new home.

USC Professor Gary Painter wrote a paper on this subject called What Happens to
Household Formation in a Recession? He said that "increases in initial household
formation will disproportionately come from renters." He added that "former
homeowners who lost their homes due to foreclosure have had their credit damaged
and will likely take time to repair their scores and secure a down payment."

And he expects both of these groups of renters to jump into home ownership as
jobs become more plentiful and debts wind down.

Point is, our housebound 20-something children are about to strike out on their
own. And they will be moving into apartments at first.

As an investor, I like the REITs (real estate investment trusts) that own
apartment buildings. During the housing boom, nobody wanted to rent. So rents
and apartment building prices dropped. Now the trend is reversing. More people
are renting. And our new householders are adding to their numbers. So rents are
going up, making these REITs more money.

Very soon, home ownership will pick up too. And companies that help people
renovate and furnish their homes will be getting a bigger slice of rising
consumer spending.

That includes retailers like Lowe's and Home Depot. They're perfectly positioned
to capture this increased spending. And they should be able to ride this trend
for the next 9-10 years… at least.

Forex: Sive Morten Weekly | EUR/USD, May 09-13, 2011

Although market could show retracement up till 1.4750 right from
current level, I have some suspicions that market will reach 1.40-1.41
first and only after that will show solid retracment up.
So, for long term traders is better to stay flat, for intraday traders
- trade with bearish context

http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/shoulders-giants/

This is a product of Sive Mortem work as a Master Forex analyst.
You could also get more helpful resources by checking out the google
products on this blog.
All the best.

Money - Investing in Silver

Silver: How To Turn This Boom Into Money In Your Pocket

Many thanks to Christian Hill for this report.

FREE REPORT

Dear ETR Reader,

These days it seems like I can't turn on the television, read the news or listen
to the radio without hearing about silver. And there's a good reason.

The price of silver has been jumping like crazy lately - in fact, it just hit a
30-year high. Investors who got in on this silver rush early doubled their
earnings in the last six months.

Now you can learn how.

With further double-digit gains predicted for 2011, it's not too late for smart
investors to profit from the silver boom.

Here's the thing:

There are many ways to invest in the silver market - coins, bullion, ETFs,
certificates, mining stocks… even something called "junk silver". So, if you
don't know what works best, you could make a costly mistake. So be
careful and invest wisely.

What Are You Chasing?

This is an extract from Early to Rise- Investors' Edition. Hope you'll
find it useful.

What Are You Chasing?

Today, I want to show you how you can make 50%-100% in the next three years. It
may mean switching your investing strategy, but the results could transform your
portfolio.

But first, which would you rather do...

Buy something for $0.60 that is worth $1.00, or

Spend $1.00 on something that might someday be worth $1.00 but isn't now?

Logically, you would take the first choice. You would prefer to buy something
cheap now, knowing - with a degree of certainty - that it will be worth more in
the near future.

Unfortunately, many investors go with the second choice. They buy something,
hoping that, one day, its value will catch up with what they paid for it.

To be fair, it sometimes does. But that isn't a very reliable way to invest. For
every "can't miss" growth story like Amazon.com that actually pans out, there
are three or four Pets.com or Napsters out there.

What investors should be doing is buying companies offered at a discount to
their true prices. It's what Benjamin Graham did. And what Warren Buffett and
Seth Klarman do today. They are all on a short list of the greatest investors of
all time.

They buy companies that are on sale. They know that, eventually, the sale will
be over and Wall Street will want full price again.

Compare that to buying a company at (or even over) its full price, and hoping it
can somehow keep increasing in price.

It is the difference between investing in value and investing in growth.

With value investing, you identify companies with strong fundamentals -
earnings, dividends, cash flow, etc. - that are selling at a discount compared
to those numbers. These companies have the potential for large increases in
share price once Wall Street recognizes its error.

To be clear, this doesn't mean buying any old stock just because it has fallen
in price. There is a distinct difference between buying cheap "good" companies
and buying cheap "junk" companies. Some are cheap because the market has made a
mistake in pricing them. Some are cheap because their business is broken.

Granted, this may sound like a boring way to invest. It can't possibly offer the
sexy returns of growth stocks.

But what if that weren't the case? What if you could invest in "boring" value
stocks, make over 120% gains (even with the huge market collapse of 2008), and
outperform growth stocks?

You can.
And in case you are wondering, large cap value stocks also outperformed large
cap growth stocks over the last 10 years.

So what are you chasing?

If you are chasing bigger returns by investing in growth stocks, your money is
misplaced. You are better off buying value.

Isn't it time you followed Warren Buffett and some of the other great investors
of all time?

Respectfully,

Here's your Upcoming Signals Overview (May 2 ~ 6, 2011)...

If you're reading this,it comes your way courtesy Henry Liu. Hope it helps.

The preview for the this week's tradable releases has been posted in
the current signal area:

http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/current-forex-trading-signals/

We've got 12 tradable news for the week...

Thank you,

-Henry Liu

Sive Morten Weekly | EUR/USD, May 02-06, 2011

I'm pleased to share this with you as an investor. I hope it useful for you.

For positional traders is flat period - either try to hold previously
opened Longs, but tight stops, or - stay flat.
For short-term traders is better to not marry any position - exit
quickly, because you never know how it could turn at overbought...

http://www.forexpeacearmy.com/forex-forum/shoulders-giants/